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Bulls Rest While Oil Stays Hot

Global markets paused briefly on Friday after U.S. stocks closed at fresh record highs, as investors weighed strong corporate earnings against escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were little changed, suggesting traders are taking a moment to digest a volatile April that saw oil surge while equities rallied sharply.

Technology stocks once again led the charge. Apple rose 2.8% in premarket trading after the iPhone maker issued stronger-than-expected revenue growth guidance, reinforcing the narrative that AI investment remains a powerful engine for market optimism.

Despite a turbulent backdrop marked by the Iran conflict and rising energy prices, U.S. equities still posted their best monthly performance since 2020, largely driven by enthusiasm for artificial intelligence. The key question for investors now is whether the AI-driven rally can continue to counterbalance inflation pressures and geopolitical risks.

Energy markets remain firmly in focus. Oil prices extended gains, with Brent trading above $111 per barrel after President Donald Trump reaffirmed a naval blockade of Iranian ports, raising fears that the critical Strait of Hormuz could remain closed. The surge has already begun to ripple through currency and bond markets.

Meanwhile, the yen strengthened following Japanese authorities' intervention, Treasury yields edged higher, and gold retreated slightly as traders assessed fresh U.S. economic data. The numbers showed the U.S. economy growing at a solid pace, thanks to surging AI investment, though inflation pressures rose as gasoline prices climbed.

Peel Take: Markets are pausing after a strong rally, but the setup hasn’t gotten any simpler. On one side, you’ve got AI-driven growth and strong earnings keeping the momentum alive. On the other hand, rising oil prices and geopolitical tension are quietly building pressure. For now, optimism is winning, but it’s not exactly an easy ride.

What's Ripe

Quanta Services Inc. (PWR) 15.8%

  • PWR jumped 16% after the AI infrastructure builder beat first-quarter earnings expectations and raised its full-year outlook, signaling strong demand as Big Tech ramps up spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure.

  • The company is increasingly seen as a key player in building the power grids, transmission lines, and energy systems needed to support data centers and AI computing capacity.

  • Peel Take: AI isn’t just boosting chipmakers, but it’s also powering the ā€œpicks and shovelsā€ companies that build the infrastructure behind the boom. As data centers multiply and electricity demand surges, firms like Quanta Services are quietly becoming critical enablers of the AI economy, turning the tech frenzy into a multi-year infrastructure opportunity.

Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) 15.1%

  • QCOM surged 15% after the chipmaker reported better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings and signaled that its push into data-center processors is gaining momentum.

  • Chief Executive Cristiano Amon told analysts that initial shipments of a custom data-center chip are expected to begin in the December quarter, marking a significant step in Qualcomm’s strategy to expand beyond smartphones and capture a larger share of the fast-growing AI infrastructure market.

  • Peel Take: Qualcomm has long been synonymous with smartphone chips, but the real growth story may lie elsewhere. By moving aggressively into AI-driven data centers, the company is trying to reposition itself in the most lucrative corner of the semiconductor industry. If the transition succeeds, Qualcomm could transform from a mobile-chip heavyweight into a serious contender in the AI compute race.

What's Rotten

Meta Platforms Inc.(META) 8.6%

  • META sank 8.6% after the Facebook owner reported first-quarter earnings that beat analysts’ expectations but surprised investors by raising its capital expenditure guidance for the year.

  • The company is ramping up spending to build out its artificial intelligence infrastructure, but unlike other hyperscalers, Meta does not operate a public cloud business, leaving fewer immediate revenue streams to offset the massive AI investment.

  • Peel Take: Investors love the AI story, just not the AI bill. While Meta is pouring billions into computing power and data centers to stay competitive in the AI race, markets are questioning how quickly those investments will translate into profits, especially without a cloud platform to monetize the infrastructure.

Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) 3.9%

  • MSFT slid 3.9% after the tech giant’s massive capital spending plans overshadowed strong revenue growth in its Azure cloud-computing business.

  • The company projected about $190 billion in capital expenditures for the year, far above Wall Street’s $160 billion estimate for 2026, as it continues investing heavily in artificial intelligence infrastructure and data centers to support surging demand.

  • Peel Take: The AI race is turning into a spending arms race. While Azure continues to grow strongly, investors are grappling with the scale of Microsoft’s investment required to power the AI boom, raising the question of how long markets will tolerate sky-high spending before demanding stronger returns.

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