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Cruise Scare Managed
Trump says the cruise ship hantavirus situation remains under control.

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Market Snapshot

📉 Banana Bits
Nvidia chips reportedly made their way through Bangkok despite ongoing restrictions.
Singapore cracks down on property flippers as authorities tighten the market.
Trump says the cruise ship hantavirus situation remains under control.
U.S. consumers continue spending despite higher interest rates.
Trump gives Europe a July deadline to reach a trade deal.
Nintendo warns that rising memory chip prices are driving up storage costs.
Market News
Wall Street Stuck in Headline Hell
U.S. stocks pulled back from record highs while oil prices swung sharply as optimism over a potential US-Iran agreement faded.
The S&P 500 fell 0.4% amid renewed concerns over tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Oil briefly dropped below $90 before rebounding near $95 following reports of explosions near an Iranian port and claims by Iranian state media that the U.S. attacked an Iranian tanker, triggering missile retaliation.
Markets had recently rallied on hopes that the U.S. and Iran were nearing a deal to reopen Hormuz and stabilize energy flows. However, uncertainty remains high as Washington awaits Tehran’s response to its proposal, while Iran has rejected reopening plans, calling them unrealistic.
Analysts warned that oil prices will likely remain highly volatile until there is greater clarity on whether a ceasefire or agreement can be reached.
Despite geopolitical fears, investors were still supported by strong corporate earnings and resilient economic data.
Jobless claims remained relatively low, signaling a stable labor market ahead of upcoming payroll data.
Strong earnings guidance from companies such as Datadog and improved outlooks from Peloton helped offset some broader market weakness, reinforcing confidence that corporate America remains fundamentally healthy despite external shocks.
At the same time, several consumer-facing companies showed signs of pressure from a slowing economy and persistent inflation. Planet Fitness lowered its full-year revenue forecast after weaker-than-expected member growth, while Shake Shack fell sharply amid rising beef prices and poor weather conditions.
Arm Holdings also declined after smartphone demand weakness overshadowed growth in its AI-related business.
Analysts noted that prolonged disruption in the Strait could keep inflation elevated, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path toward interest-rate cuts and putting additional pressure on equities and bonds.
Elsewhere, safe-haven assets such as gold gained as investors sought protection from geopolitical uncertainty, while Treasury yields rose as markets priced in the possibility that energy-driven inflation may persist. Cr*ptocurrencies also weakened, with B*tcoin and Ether declining alongside broader risk assets.
Peel Take: The markets remain trapped between strong economic and earnings fundamentals on one side and rapidly shifting geopolitical headlines on the other. Until there is clearer progress toward a U.S.-Iran agreement or stabilization in oil markets, investors are likely to remain highly reactive to every new development surrounding the Hormuz conflict.
What's Ripe
Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) 20.0%
FTNT surged 20% after the cybersecurity firm crushed quarterly earnings expectations and issued strong guidance, calming investor fears that AI would start replacing half the software industry before next Tuesday.
Peel Take: Fortinet reminded investors that cybersecurity remains one of the few tech areas where companies can’t afford to cut corners. Strong earnings and guidance helped calm fears that AI would instantly devour the entire software sector. Turns out, people still like paying for protection, especially online.
AppLovin Corp. (APP) 6.4%
APP gained 6.4% after the mobile advertising platform topped first-quarter earnings expectations and delivered a stronger-than-expected outlook, giving investors a reason to stop doomscrolling the stock after a brutal 44% plunge earlier this year driven by the software selloff, SEC scrutiny, and relentless short-seller attacks.
Peel Take: After getting absolutely bullied earlier this year, AppLovin finally gave investors something positive to work with. Strong earnings and guidance helped shift the mood from “this thing is broken” to “okay, maybe the panic was a bit excessive.”
What's Rotten
Planet Fitness Inc. (PLNT) 31.3%
PLNT dropped 31% after the gym chain slashed its growth outlook and abandoned planned price hikes as New Year signups came in far weaker than expected, suggesting 2026 may finally be the year people stop pretending their resolutions will last past February.
William Blair analysts also downgraded the stock to Market Perform from Outperform.
Peel Take: Planet Fitness just discovered the harsh truth about New Year’s resolutions: eventually, people stop showing up. Weak signups and scrapped price hikes were enough to crush the stock, as investors realized even the low-cost gym business isn’t immune to a tired consumer.
Whirlpool Corp. (WHR) 12.0%
WHR plunged 12% after the appliance maker swung to a quarterly loss, slashed its full-year outlook, and suspended its dividend as the Iran war crushed consumer confidence and demand for big-ticket items like refrigerators and washing machines.
The company also warned shoppers that higher appliance prices are coming soon because, apparently, even surviving inflation now requires financing a dishwasher.
Peel Take: When consumers start cutting back, giant appliances are usually among the first to go. Between weaker demand, a slashed outlook, and suspended dividends, Whirlpool basically confirmed that convincing people to finance a new refrigerator in this economy isn’t getting any easier.
🧠 Technical Trip
Interview Q&A from Morgan Stanley

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🦈 Deal Dispatch
M&A, IPOs, And Other Notable Transactions
SoftBank’s plans for a major OpenAI loan face growing skepticism.
Goldman-backed Go pushes ahead with its Tokyo IPO plans.
Nvidia invests in IREN to expand infrastructure for growing AI demand.
Kalshi reaches a massive valuation in a Coatue-led funding round.
Cr*pto dealmaking rebounds as Kraken expands through acquisitions.
Blue Owl prepares its first fund focused on buying secondhand private credit assets.
📊The Daily Poll
People are still spending despite high rates. What does that tell you? |
Previous Poll:
After AMD jumps nearly 20%, what’s your instinct?
Buy before it runs more: 11.4% // Wait for a pullback: 27.3% // Too hot for me: 31.8% // Just watch the chaos: 29.5%
Banana Brain Teaser
Previous
Water consists of oxygen and hydrogen, and the approximate ratio, by mass, of hydrogen to oxygen is 2:16. Approximately how many grams of oxygen are required in 144 grams of water?
Answer: 128
Today
There are 8 books on a shelf, of which 2 are paperbacks, and 6 are hardbacks. How many possible selections of 4 books from this shelf include at least one paperback?
If you have only one strategy, prepare to be broke.
How Would You Rate Today's Peel?
Happy Investing,
Chris, Vyom, Ankit, Mithun, Colin & Patrick



